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THE ROLE OF REAL ESTATE DEBT IN A PORTFOLIO

By Fortress Investment Group LLC


Over the past few years, volatility has become a defining feature of the market. Investors have had to navigate repricing of assets as interest rates moved higher, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and swings in AI-driven sentiment. Against this backdrop, lending against tangible, high-quality real estate may offer a real advantage.


Real estate values peaked in 2022 before falling roughly 22% over the next two years1. Much of the debt originated during the ultra-low rate environment of 2015 to 2021 is now coming due, and borrowers are refinancing at meaningfully higher interest rates. As a result, we see disciplined lenders underwriting new loans more conservatively, meaning today's loans are structurally stronger from the outset. We believe lenders who have kept capital on hand and built the ability to move quickly are well-positioned to take advantage of an attractive entry point.



It's worth remembering that real estate lending is credit, not equity. A real estate lender is not buying the building, so one’s returns don't depend on whether property values rise or fall. Instead, one underwrites the property itself, the cash flow it generates, and the borrower. Real estate loans sit at the top of the capital stack, senior to the equity, meaning the property owner absorbs losses first and acts as a buffer that protects the loan.

In addition, we believe today’s lower property valuations means loans are being made on a more conservative basis: less leverage, stronger protections for lenders, and a larger equity cushion to absorb losses first. In our view, that translates into a real opportunity to lend against institutional-quality assets on more favorable terms.


Why Multifamily

Multifamily, in our view, stands out as one of the more compelling opportunities within real estate credit today. The U.S. housing market is estimated at $50 trillion in value and suffers from a chronic shortage of housing units which continues to impact demand2. Compounding this, a large share of existing homeowners are effectively "locked in" to favorable pre-2022 financing: over 65% of mortgages carry rates below 5%3.

Because these homeowners have little incentive to give up historically cheap financing, the pace of new-home supply continues to lag behind household formation, keeping the market structurally undersupplied, and driving demand for multifamily options.


The Case for Real Estate Debt in a Portfolio

  • Attractive Income: Real estate debt offers compelling income, typically structured as a spread over a floating base rate and paid out consistently through contractual interest payments. This provides investors with a steady stream of cash flow, further supplemented by origination and exit fees.

  • Inflation Hedging: Real estate debt carries structural characteristics that can help cushion a portfolio against rising prices. Underlying property cash flows have tended to move upward alongside inflation, and because most real estate loans are floating rate, income can rise as rates rise. On the downside, interest rate floors and other structural protections can help preserve yield if rates fall.

  • Diversification: Real estate lending spans a broad mix of property types — multifamily, industrial, retail, hospitality — and a wide range of U.S. geographies, allowing lenders to diversify exposure across sectors with distinct demand and supply dynamics rather than concentrating risk in any single property type or market.

  • Low Correlation: Real estate debt has historically shown low correlation to core bonds, U.S. equities, and public REITs. Its returns are driven less by the forces moving public markets day to day, such as geopolitical headlines, AI-driven sentiment swings, and central bank policy shifts, and more by the steady, contractual cash flows generated by the underlying loans.



A Favorable Lending Environment

The events of 2022 – 2023 (interest rate hikes, regional banking crisis) resulted in many traditional lenders pulling back from commercial real estate lending. This dynamic has created a real financing gap, and an opening for experienced private lenders to step in where banks cannot, in our view. However, selectivity matters in this environment. We believe lenders with a long track record of origination, deep sector expertise, and experience navigating multiple credit cycles are best positioned to identify the strongest opportunities. The goal is to deploy capital selectively, targeting high-quality assets, conservative leverage, and an attractive basis.





IMPORTANT FOOTNOTES

* Source: The data on the prior pages is represented by the 10-year period ending December 2025. U.S. Equities is represented by the S&P 500 Total Return Index. International Equities is represented by the MSCI ACWI ex US Net Total Return Index. Private Real Estate Equity is represented by the NCREIF Fund Index – Open End Diversified Core Equity (NFI-ODCE) Index. Publicly Traded REITs is represented by the FTSE NAREIT REIT Total Return Index. U.S. High Yield is represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Total Return Index. U.S. Bank Loans is represented by the S&P UBS Leveraged Loan Total Return Index. U.S. Treasuries is represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 5-7 Year Total Return Index. U.S. Core Bond is represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Agg Total Return Index. Corporate Private Debt is represented by the Cliffwater Direct Lending Index. Private Real Estate Debt is represented by the Gilberto-Levy High Yield Real Estate Debt Index (G-L 2). For illustrative purposes; past performance not indicative of future results. Correlations are calculated based on quarterly data and measures the degree to which the two investments move in relation to each other, ranging from -1.0 to +1.0, over the specified period. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Metrics and performance information herein do not relate to Fortress but instead reflect Fortress' beliefs about the market generally.

Index performance is presented for illustrative purposes only and is subject to limitations when used for comparison or other purposes, including differences in the number of investments, recycling or reinvestment of distributions, and asset types. It is not possible to directly invest in one or more of these indices and the holdings of any strategy may differ materially from the holdings of any such index in terms of levels of diversification, types of securities or assets represented and other significant factors. Indices are unmanaged, do not charge any fees or expenses, assume reinvestment of income and do not employ special investment techniques such as leveraging or short selling. No such index is indicative of the future results of any strategy or investment.


DISCLOSURES & RISK FACTORS

In general. This disclaimer applies to this document and the verbal or written comments of any person presenting it. This document, taken together with any such verbal or written comments, is referred to herein as the “Presentation.” Fortress Investment Group LLC, taken together with its affiliates, is referred to herein as “Fortress.” This Presentation is produced solely for the recipient and may not be transmitted, reproduced or made available to any other person.

No offer to purchase or sell securities. The Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security and may not be relied upon in connection with the purchase or sale of any security.

Forward looking statements. Forward looking statements (including opinions or expectations about any future event) contained in the Presentation are based on a variety of estimates and assumptions by Fortress. The inclusion of any forward looking statements herein should not be regarded as an indication that Fortress considers such forward looking statement to be a reliable prediction of future events and no forward looking statement should be relied upon as such. Neither Fortress nor any of its representatives has made or makes any representation to any person regarding any forward looking statements and none of them intends to update or otherwise revise such statements to reflect circumstances existing after the date when made or to reflect the occurrence of future events, even in the event that any or all of the assumptions underlying such forward looking statements are later shown to be in error.

Third party information. Certain information presented in this Presentation regarding market conditions and market data is based upon information that has been obtained or derived from independent third-party sources. Although Fortress believes these sources are reliable, Fortress cannot guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the data obtained from third-party sources. This Presentation discusses general activity or industry or sector trends and should not be construed as research or investment advice. While Fortress believes such sources to be reliable, neither Fortress nor any of its respective affiliates nor employees have updated any such information through the date hereof or undertaken any independent review of such information. Fortress does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, with respect to the fairness, correctness, accuracy, reasonableness or completeness of any of the information contained herein (including but not limited to economic, market or other information obtained from third parties), and it expressly disclaims any responsibility or liability therefore.

Market sector. Certain information was gathered from third parties while other statements reflect Fortress' beliefs as of the date hereof based on certain assumptions that Fortress believes are reasonable, but may prove incorrect. Although Fortress believes that the determinations related to the opportunity set, market and sector described herein are reasonable, they are inherently subjective in nature. Other market participants may make different determinations relating to the opportunity set, market and sector based on the same underlying data.

No tax, legal, accounting or investment advice. The Presentation is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, tax, legal, accounting or investment advice. Any statements of federal tax consequences contained in the Presentation were not intended to be used and cannot be used to avoid penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or to promote, market or recommend to another party any tax related matters addressed herein.

Knowledge and experience. You acknowledge that you are knowledgeable and experienced with respect to the financial, tax and business aspects of the Presentation and that you will conduct your own independent financial, business, regulatory, accounting, legal, and tax investigations with respect to the accuracy, completeness and suitability of the Presentation should you choose to use or rely the Presentation, at your own risk, for any purpose.

No reliance, no update and use of information. You may not rely on the Presentation as the basis upon which to make an investment decision. To the extent that you rely on the Presentation in connection with any investment decision, you do so at your own risk. The Presentation does not purport to be complete on any topic addressed. The information in the Presentation is provided to you as of the dates indicated and Fortress does not intend to update the information after its distribution, even in the event that the information becomes materially inaccurate. Certain information contained in the Presentation includes calculations or figures that have been prepared internally and have not been audited or verified by a third party. Use of different methods for preparing, calculating or presenting information may lead to different results and such differences may be material. In addition, in certain instances some of the information contained herein may not be updated from prior periods due to legal and/or regulatory considerations. Certain information herein reflects the subjective beliefs of Fortress and is based on various assumptions and risks, which may ultimately prove to be inaccurate. There can be no assurance that historical trends will continue or that Fortress will be able to implement its investment strategy and objectives. Although Fortress believes that the determinations related to the market backdrop described herein are reasonable, they are inherently subjective in nature. Other market participants may make different determinations relating to the market based on the same underlying data.

Logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights. Certain logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights included in the Presentation are strictly for identification and informational purposes only. Such logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights may be owned by companies or persons not affiliated with Fortress or any Fortress managed vehicles and no claim is made that any such company or person has sponsored or endorsed the use of such logos, trade names, trademarks and copyrights in the Presentation.

Distribution of the Presentation. Fortress expressly prohibits any redistribution of the Presentation without the prior written consent of Fortress. The Presentation is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is contrary to law, rule or regulation.

Confidentiality. By accepting receipt or reading any portion of the Presentation, you agree that you will treat the Presentation confidentially. This reminder should not be read to limit, in any way, the terms of your (or your organization’s) confidentiality agreement with Fortress, if applicable. The information contained herein is confidential and proprietary in nature and may include information protected by relevant federal and state law governing the protection of trade secrets.


Index Definitions

S&P 500 Total Return Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index tracking 500 of the largest publicly traded U.S. companies, serving as a key benchmark for the U.S. stock market and economy. The Total Return version reflects the reinvestment of dividends.

MSCI ACWI ex US Net Total Return Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index representing large- and mid-cap equities across developed and emerging markets outside the United States, covering approximately 85% of the investable equity opportunity set in those markets. The Net Total Return version reflects dividends reinvested after withholding taxes.

FTSE NAREIT All REITs Total Return Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index tracking all tax-qualified REITs listed on major U.S. stock exchanges, serving as a broad benchmark for the publicly traded U.S. real estate market.

Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Total Return Index is a market-value-weighted index of USD-denominated, fixed-rate corporate bonds rated below investment grade, serving as a broad benchmark for the U.S. high yield bond market.

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Total Return Index is a market-value-weighted index tracking the largest institutional leveraged loans in the U.S., serving as a broad benchmark for the senior secured loan market.

Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 5–7 Year Total Return Index is an index of USD-denominated, fixed-rate U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities of five to seven years, serving as a benchmark for intermediate-term government bond performance.

Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Total Return Index is a broad-based index of USD-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate bonds including Treasuries, corporates, MBS, ABS, and CMBS, serving as the primary benchmark for the U.S. investment-grade bond market.

Cliffwater Direct Lending Index (CDLI) is an asset-weighted index tracking the unlevered, gross-of-fees performance of U.S. middle market corporate loans held by Business Development Companies, serving as a benchmark for private corporate lending.

Giliberto-Levy High-Yield Real Estate Debt Index (G-L 2) is an index tracking the performance of high-yield commercial real estate debt investments including mezzanine loans, B-notes, second mortgages, and preferred equity, serving as the first third-party benchmark for high-yield CRE debt.

NCREIF Fund Index – Open End Diversified Core Equity (NFI-ODCE) is an equal-weighted index tracking the net returns of open-end commingled real estate funds pursuing a core investment strategy across diversified U.S. property types, serving as the primary benchmark for institutional private real estate fund performance.

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